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这期capital allocators请来克拉曼,
blah blah讲了很多
但你们最感兴趣的,可能是他觉得中国股票超级低估。要知道他可是
铁杆原教旨价值投资者
比巴菲特还要价投。
简单来说下他的看法:
1. 克拉曼的Baupost几十年了都没有持有过任何中国股票,因为他觉得这个地方太热闹太招人偏爱,不会有什么好的价值投资机会。
2. 不过最近开始他们看一些机会,也持有了一个跌了90%市值的中国公司股票(估计是新东方)。
3. 中国持仓占很小的一部分。
4. 他个人还是对新兴市场比较谨慎,认为他们没什么超额能力,Baupost偏爱美国与欧洲市场。
以下是原文:
“we talk to our clients not that long ago about a few Chinese stocks we were finding. we had never owned anything in China for decades it was in favor everybody was lining up to go there l knew that they have a pretty authoritarian system of governance and didn't want to be on the wrong side ofthat we stay away from most markets like that as a pretty regular rule. yet the stocks were starting to Discount such a significant degree of China risk that we felt like for the first time ever that you're actually getting well paid. and we found a company whose stock was beaten down 90 percent and thought that was attractive and so far so good but it's not a large percentage of our Capital but it was very Intrepid idea by one of our analysts I don't have a view about emergent markets about the frontier markets we're humble enough and cautious enough to know that if you don't live in a country if you don't have people that are active in that country you're at a real disadvantage and so I have no idea what the premium should be for buying equities in Africa or equities in Asia but when I find a stock trading at 25 cents on the dollar I know that those…..”

全部讨论

我需要知道他分析完股票低估后,有没有接着说But,however…我也知道低估了,但是,你懂的。

2023-07-22 13:53

看他的持仓,中丐只有一点点新东方

简单来说下他的看法:1. 克拉曼的Baupost几十年了都没有持有过任何中国股票,因为他觉得这个地方太热闹太招人偏爱,不会有什么好的价值投资机会。2. 不过最近开始他们看一些机会,也持有了一个跌了90%市值的中国公司股票(估计是新东方)。3. 中国持仓占很小的一部分。4. 他个人还是对新兴市场比较谨慎,认为他们没什么超额能力,Baupost偏爱美国与欧洲市场。以下是原文:
“we talk to our clients not that long ago about a few Chinese stocks we were finding. we had never owned anything in China for decades it was in favor everybody was lining up to go there l knew that they have a pretty authoritarian system of governance and didn't want to be on the wrong side ofthat we stay away from most markets like that as a pretty regular rule. yet the stocks were starting to Discount such a significant degree of China risk that we felt like for the first time ever that you're actually getting well paid. and we found a company whose stock was beaten down 90 percent and thought that was attractive and so far so good but it's not a large percentage of our Capital but it was very Intrepid idea by one of our analysts I don't have a view about emergent markets about the frontier markets we're humble enough and cautious enough to know that if you don't live in a country if you don't have people that are active in that country you're at a real disadvantage and so I have no idea what the premium should be for buying equities in Africa or equities in Asia but when I find a stock trading at 25 cents on the dollar I know that those…..”

2023-07-22 13:10

今天重看塞思,卡拉曼的安全边际一书,感叹价值投资的确不是一般人可以做的,真的很难。这也是很多人愿意学习巴菲特,和大道的原因,觉得这个容易,但是反过来基本不具备大道和巴菲特的能力圈和能力,经历安全边际大部分都是讲,一切都是价格和价值,然后就是永远不要亏本。可口可乐也很难入传统价值投资的法眼,因为他们基于品牌,口味等无形资产,这不安全。需要有形资产并且0.5元买一元资产

2023-07-22 13:07

他来过中国吗?了解中国吗?

2023-07-22 13:38

他买了哪个跌了90%的股票,还挣钱了?不会是地产吧

2023-07-22 13:06

应该是比巴菲特还看中估值吧?

2023-07-22 17:00

偏爱美国及欧洲市场!
这句牛!重要的是对市场的理解!

2023-07-22 14:37

巴菲特不是说过吗,他曾经买过一些便宜的古巴股票。。。。

2023-07-22 14:02

问题是他中国仓位有多少,有没有芒哥那样真的下场买阿里