Concentrate on core competencies

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$BLUEBIRD BIO INC(BLUE)$  this company is the leading horseman in GENE THERAPY area. They have three MAIN value drivers: Beta-Thalassemia, Sickle Cell Disease (SCD) and CCALD. Of course, they also work with $新基(CELG)$  in the EXTREMELY HOT (stretched valuation) CAR-T area. However, if you have been following this company seriously, you should know their CAR-T program is still in the early stage which means it contributes a much less value to the company when you model. In fact, most of the analysts from both sell-side and buy-side value their CAR-T program at the range from $3-$ 10 when they model the company.  The KEY drivers are the Beta-Thalassemia and SCD programs (CCALD is usually given a $3 -$ 5 value currently).

IMHO, if you a talking Immuno-Oncology or Gene Therapy, it is appropriate to tag this company with companies like $百时美施贵宝(BMY)$  $默克(MRK)$  $罗氏控股(RHHBY)$   or $SPARK THERAPEUTICS INC(ONCE)$  $Avalanche Biotechnologies(AAVL)$  $uniQure(QURE)$ 

The basic idea behind this is quite simple: Just focus the things that are most valuable to a company.

After this morning's news, we have at least four PT increase today on this company (JPMorgan, BAML, Piper Jaffray and Wedbush). So the stock has enjoyed quite a run today.

Downside risk still exists and may hurt the company at any time you might not expect. Moreover, the sentiment of the entire market also matters.

Caveat Emptor

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2015-05-21 21:29

$BLUEBIRD BIO INC(BLUE)$ The abstract released this morning demonstrates again how well this company is. Looks like they just did some great work in SCD (the biggest driver in their pipeline, valued at around $90/sh to the stock price).

2015-05-20 21:29

$BLUEBIRD BIO INC(BLUE)$ got another PT increase to $200 from BMO Capital Markets this morning. The fifth one in 24 hrs.

Be careful, get some protection is not a bad idea, IMHO