Hint: delta
$恐慌指数(30天)(VIX)$ when buying the dip becomes buying the sh1t.
Iv90 vs hv60, iv30 vs hv20,RV houses smashing front vol,大口吃肉喝大碗的酒。
回顾50cents交易记录,不难发现最近8-9月合约的鲸鱼蠢蠢欲动,不敢说接下来会不会出现惊天黑天鹅,但是黄金石油等一系列信号预示着something big is coming。全仓tbill+5%投机vol/puts看看能不能钓上大鱼吧,
time to lay the fk low. #什么情况,黄金股遭遇重锤#
全球因微软bug导致it服务全面瘫痪?
外包给印度三哥解决一下不就完了?
What’s the best hedge in a shit storm?
puts in SPX complex. $标普500 ETF-SPDR(SPY)$ calls in volatility squared complex$恐慌指数(30天)(VIX)$ low vol, low beta etfs, custom scanned.
七月fed monetary policy review刚说完money market is all good bro,新出来的reserve balances rolling 3 months rate of change达到新低,这一切预示着reserve已经开始scarce了吗?
mid month anomaly. 一个来,全都来。
过年咯,劈里啪啦。
拿着$Truist Financial(TFC)$ 的3倍收益的50%利润跟着鲸鱼赌把死猫跳$嘉信理财(SCHW)$
刀尖上舔血,逃过一劫。
$Meta(META)$ 不得不佩服小扎前瞻性,早在去年就看清了daddy is coming home better lay the fk low.
$美国国债20+年ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 20year+ modified duration 16.5, us20/30y yields 4.4%. 26.7 basis point rise = a quarter point of fed funds raise wipes out entire year of income.
Shitty bank两周前止损退出了,不过gold yen开始疾风吧!
Long time no see. Let’s fucking go.
$日元做多-CurrencyShares(FXY)$
上周四is something,被cap weighted index挟持的vix,接下来的种种因素将迎来大选前的rally broadening。留一个尾巴$台积电(TSM)$ ,剩下mag7换成$标普500等权指数ETF-Guggenheim(RSP)$
Bodes well, end of cycle alert.