陈达美股投资 的讨论

发布于: 雪球回复:42喜欢:9
PELLEY: You disappointed a lot of people on Wednesday.
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POWELL: We're very focused on our jobs, you know? We're focused on the real economy and doing the right thing for the economy and for the American people over the medium and long term. And I can't overstate how important it is to restore price stability, by which I mean inflation is low and predictable and people don't have to think about it in their daily lives. In their daily economic lives, inflation is just not something that you talk about. That's where we were for 20 years. We want to get back to that, and I think we are on a path to that. We just want to kind of make sure of it.
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PELLEY: Why is your target rate 2%?
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POWELL: So over, really over the course of the last few decades, central banks around the world have adopted – advanced economy central banks have adopted a 2% target. Why isn't it zero, I guess, is the question. And the reason is 2% is if interest rates always include an estimate of future inflation.
If that estimate is 2%, that means you'll have 2% more that you can cut in interest rates. The central bank will have more ammunition, more power to fight a downturn if rates are a little bit higher. In any case, that's become the global norm. And it's a pretty stable equilibrium and it seems to serve the public well.
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PELLEY: Are you committed to getting all the way to 2.0 before you cut the rates?
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POWELL: No, no. That's not what we say at all, no. We're committed to returning inflation to 2% over time. I've said that we wouldn't wait to get to 2% to cut rates. In fact, you know, we're actively considering now going forward cutting rates, and on a 12-month basis inflation, you know, is not at 2%. It's between 2-3%. But it's moving down in a way that, that it gives us some comfort.

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我推荐你们看一看鲍叔最近接受60 minutes的访谈。鲍叔那么长的专访不多的,有一些干货观点。不过有些人喜欢说,美联储说一套做一套;我不那么认为,我觉得他至少能做到大半套。

我现在才知道美联储的决策其实完全是不看美国政府的财政政策和财政状况的,再多财政赤字和政府债务,他们也不管。完全不考虑。

鲍叔对美国政府寅吃卯粮的花钱习惯,表示很无语。

理论上是的。或者说,国会授权他们的目标就这俩。

PELLEY: Your decisions inevitably are going to have a bearing on this year's election. And I wonder, to what degree does politics determine your timing?
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POWELL: We do not consider politics in our decisions. We never do. And we never will. And I think the record -- fortunately, the historical record really backs that up. People have gone back and looked. This is my fourth presidential election in the Fed, and it just doesn't come into our thinking, and I'll tell you why.
Two reasons. One, we are a non-political organization that serves all Americans. It would be wrong for us to start taking politics into account. Secondly, though, it's not easy to get the economics of this right in the first place. These are complicated, you know, risk-balancing decisions.
If we tried to incorporate a whole 'nother set of factors in politics into those decisions, it could only lead to worse economic outcomes. So, we simply don't do that, and we're not going to do it. We haven't done it in the past, and we're not going to do it now.
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PELLEY: There are people watching this interview who are skeptical about that.
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POWELL: You know, I would just say this. Integrity is priceless. And at the end, that's all you have. And we in, we plan on keeping ours.

他说什么,你信什么,天真哦

别太过,
美联储好歹也是非盈利性"政府"机构,
有自己的判断是对的,
完全不受影响也有点夸大了。

美联储才是独立的机构,这样才可以纠偏政府的很多欲望[呲牙][很赞]

多发点谭老师的 没用的少发达达[牛]

惨烈,
厦门好多外贸公司破产清盘了。