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$比亚迪(SZ002594)$ $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 由于市场份额优先于利润,中国电动汽车价格战加剧,加速小型企业的消亡。

三个月的折扣战,让一系列品牌的 50 款车型的价格平均下降了 10%,有人,比如中国智能电动汽车制造商小鹏汽车的总裁布莱恩·顾表,表示价格将在短期内稳定下来,而这种变化将有效推动电动汽车的长期发展。

A 网页链接{bruising price war} in China’s automotive sector is set to escalate as electric vehicle (EV) makers intensify their bid for a bigger piece of the world’s biggest automobile market, according to participants at the Auto China Show in Beijing.

Falling prices could inflict heavy losses and force a wave of closures, triggering an industry-wide consolidation that only those with manufacturing heft and deep pockets would be able to survive, they said.

“It is an irreversible trend that electric cars will entirely replace petrol vehicles,” Lu Tian, head of sales for BYD’s Dynasty series, told reporters on Thursday. BYD, the world’s largest EV maker, aims to redefine some segments to offer the best products and best prices to attract Chinese customers, Lu added.


A BYD Seal plug-in hybrid car is displayed at Auto China 2024 Show in Beijing on April 25, 2024. Photo: Daniel Ren

The three-month discount war has since seen prices for 50 models across a range of brands dropping by an average of 10 per cent.

Goldman Sachs said in a report last week that the automotive industry’s profitability could turn negative this year if BYD lowered its price by another 10,300 yuan (US$1,422) per vehicle.

A discount of 10,300 yuan represents 7 per cent of BYD’s average selling price for its vehicles, Goldman said. BYD mainly builds budget models priced from 100,000 yuan to 200,000 yuan.

China is the world’s largest EV market where sales account for about 60 per cent of the global total. But the industry is facing a slowdown due to a battered economy and consumers’ reluctance to spend on big-ticket items.

At present, only a few mainland EV makers – such as BYD and premium brand Li Auto – are profitable, while most companies have yet to break even.

“Overseas expansion is becoming a cushion against the falling profit margins at home,” said Jacky Chen, head of Chinese carmaker Jetour’s international business. He added that price competition among mainland EV makers would spread to overseas markets, particularly in those countries where sales are still rising.

Cui Dongshu, general secretary of the China Passenger Car Association, said in February that most mainland carmakers were likely to continue offering discounts to retain market share.

A sales manager in US carmaker General Motors’ booth at the auto show told the Post that prices and promotional campaigns, rather than the vehicles’ design and quality, hold the key to a brand’s success in China because budget-conscious consumers are prioritising bargains when considering car purchases.

BYD, which is backed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, posted a record net profit of 30 billion yuan for 2023, an 80.7 per cent year-on-year increase.

Its profitability lags General Motors, which reported a net income of US$15 billion last year, a 19.4 per cent year-on-year rise.

Some say that the discount war is drawing to a close.

Brian Gu, president of Xpeng, a maker of smart EVs in China, said prices would stabilise in the near term and that change would effectively propel EV development in the long term.

“Competition actually caused expansion of the EV sector and drove its penetration in China,” he told reporters at a media briefing on Thursday. “It encouraged more people to buy EVs and accelerated the curve of penetration.”

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04-29 11:55

国际大社对比亚迪Q1业绩的预测分析和评论,比亚迪策略是显而易见的,利用国内量销产品来维持产能利用率和经营杠杆,用高端车型和出口平衡利润率:$比亚迪(SZ002594)$
(Bloomberg) -- After getting a jump on competitors in the latest round of China’s electric-vehicle price war, BYD Co. now faces a key test of proving that it can withstand the impact on profits.
China’s biggest EV maker broke with its usual practice of not providing guidance ahead of its earnings report due later Monday. The stock’s volatility skew this month jumped to the highest since October 2022, indicating increased investor demand for downside protection.
Slowing growth, a rush of new competitors and discounts initiated by Tesla Inc. last year have ramped up pressure in the Chinese EV market, the world’s largest. Investors will be scrutinizing BYD’s results comments for plans for further aggressive steps after a move to cut prices on mass-market models ahead of peers this year scored success.
BYD “has fired off the first shot, taking market share from internal combustion-engine cars,” said Daisy Li, fund manager at EFG Asset Management HK Ltd. “EV penetration is rising and sales are growing, but that’s coming with lower profits.”
Helped by the price reductions, BYD sold about 300,000 vehicles in March, rebounding from a pronounced weakness seen in the prior month. That helped the stock, which is down less than 1% in Hong Kong this year, while a gauge of global EV makers has declined more than 15%.
The resilience may leave the shares vulnerable to selling pressure if the results disappoint. BYD is expected to post sales growth of 10% for the seasonally slow first quarter, which would be its lowest in four years. Gross profit margin is estimated to decline to 19.6% compared with 21.2% in the fourth quarter.
While the price cuts for cheaper models have likely hurt its profitability, BYD’s growth in higher-end models and overseas sales are among key points traders will be watching for potential positives.
“We believe BYD’s strategy is to leverage domestic mass products to maintain production utilization and operating leverage, and balance profit margins with premium models and exports,” said Bing Yuan, a fund manager at Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management.
BYD has been expanding its luxury lineup, including the Auto China show launch of the Denza Z9GT, a shooting-brake style design with a heavy emphasis on technology. In Februray, it rolled out its $200,000-plus Yangwang U9 supercar to rival offerings from Ferrari NV and Lamborghini.
The company has a target of selling 500,000 vehicles outside China this year, and then doubling that in 2025. It also plans to build its first European car factory in Hungary.
“Exports coming from a low base are expected to continue to show strong growth — this will remain a key supporting factor for BYD’s revenue growth and likely margin,” said Robert Mumford, a portfolio manager at GAM Hong Kong Ltd. “Outside the leaders, we have been fairly bearish on the sector given high levels of competition and pricing pressure.”

04-28 18:00

凤凰网汽车:其实最后的问题我非常关心,大家都在说整个新能源车已经是太卷了,而且所有价格基本上被碾压到地板上摩擦了,你认为国内价格战会持续多久?特斯拉都在进行全球裁员,你如何看待未来的挑战呢?$比亚迪(SZ002594)$
路天:我觉得应该有这么几点,第一个价格战肯定是行业市场化的一个正常现象,我认为无论是汽车还是家电行业都是正常现象。每个企业都会基于这种市场的发展趋势包括自身的节奏来决定。降价潮是推动行业新能源渗透率快速增长的一个核心。我们看了看过去的数据,从4月1日到14日,新能源的批发、零售这个渗透率双双都突破了50%,也就是说新能源汽车成为了中国消费者主流的形势。相反燃油车正式成为一个小众主题。
第二点我觉得价格战并不可怕,价格战会把那些更有实力、效率和资金的车企留存下来,完成良币驱逐劣币的竞争。用户可以在这种优秀的企业里面选择更优秀的产品,买车也更加的放心。
第三点我觉得未来几年会加速这种优胜劣汰,通过价值战让整个行业真正回归到价值的竞争,也可以会孕育出世界级的品牌。