A 网页链接{bruising price war} in China’s automotive sector is set to escalate as electric vehicle (EV) makers intensify their bid for a bigger piece of the world’s biggest automobile market, according to participants at the Auto China Show in Beijing.
Falling prices could inflict heavy losses and force a wave of closures, triggering an industry-wide consolidation that only those with manufacturing heft and deep pockets would be able to survive, they said.
“It is an irreversible trend that electric cars will entirely replace petrol vehicles,” Lu Tian, head of sales for BYD’s Dynasty series, told reporters on Thursday. BYD, the world’s largest EV maker, aims to redefine some segments to offer the best products and best prices to attract Chinese customers, Lu added.
The three-month discount war has since seen prices for 50 models across a range of brands dropping by an average of 10 per cent.
Goldman Sachs said in a report last week that the automotive industry’s profitability could turn negative this year if BYD lowered its price by another 10,300 yuan (US$1,422) per vehicle.
A discount of 10,300 yuan represents 7 per cent of BYD’s average selling price for its vehicles, Goldman said. BYD mainly builds budget models priced from 100,000 yuan to 200,000 yuan.
China is the world’s largest EV market where sales account for about 60 per cent of the global total. But the industry is facing a slowdown due to a battered economy and consumers’ reluctance to spend on big-ticket items.
At present, only a few mainland EV makers – such as BYD and premium brand Li Auto – are profitable, while most companies have yet to break even.
“Overseas expansion is becoming a cushion against the falling profit margins at home,” said Jacky Chen, head of Chinese carmaker Jetour’s international business. He added that price competition among mainland EV makers would spread to overseas markets, particularly in those countries where sales are still rising.
Cui Dongshu, general secretary of the China Passenger Car Association, said in February that most mainland carmakers were likely to continue offering discounts to retain market share.
A sales manager in US carmaker General Motors’ booth at the auto show told the Post that prices and promotional campaigns, rather than the vehicles’ design and quality, hold the key to a brand’s success in China because budget-conscious consumers are prioritising bargains when considering car purchases.
BYD, which is backed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, posted a record net profit of 30 billion yuan for 2023, an 80.7 per cent year-on-year increase.
Its profitability lags General Motors, which reported a net income of US$15 billion last year, a 19.4 per cent year-on-year rise.
Some say that the discount war is drawing to a close.
Brian Gu, president of Xpeng, a maker of smart EVs in China, said prices would stabilise in the near term and that change would effectively propel EV development in the long term.
“Competition actually caused expansion of the EV sector and drove its penetration in China,” he told reporters at a media briefing on Thursday. “It encouraged more people to buy EVs and accelerated the curve of penetration.”
国际大社对比亚迪Q1业绩的预测分析和评论,比亚迪策略是显而易见的,利用国内量销产品来维持产能利用率和经营杠杆,用高端车型和出口平衡利润率:$比亚迪(SZ002594)$ (Bloomberg) -- After getting a jump on competitors in the latest round of China’s electric-vehicle price war, BYD Co. now faces a key test of proving that it can withstand the impact on profits. China’s biggest EV maker broke with its usual practice of not providing guidance ahead of its earnings report due later Monday. The stock’s volatility skew this month jumped to the highest since October 2022, indicating increased investor demand for downside protection. Slowing growth, a rush of new competitors and discounts initiated by Tesla Inc. last year have ramped up pressure in the Chinese EV market, the world’s largest. Investors will be scrutinizing BYD’s results comments for plans for further aggressive steps after a move to cut prices on mass-market models ahead of peers this year scored success. BYD “has fired off the first shot, taking market share from internal combustion-engine cars,” said Daisy Li, fund manager at EFG Asset Management HK Ltd. “EV penetration is rising and sales are growing, but that’s coming with lower profits.” Helped by the price reductions, BYD sold about 300,000 vehicles in March, rebounding from a pronounced weakness seen in the prior month. That helped the stock, which is down less than 1% in Hong Kong this year, while a gauge of global EV makers has declined more than 15%. The resilience may leave the shares vulnerable to selling pressure if the results disappoint. BYD is expected to post sales growth of 10% for the seasonally slow first quarter, which would be its lowest in four years. Gross profit margin is estimated to decline to 19.6% compared with 21.2% in the fourth quarter. While the price cuts for cheaper models have likely hurt its profitability, BYD’s growth in higher-end models and overseas sales are among key points traders will be watching for potential positives. “We believe BYD’s strategy is to leverage domestic mass products to maintain production utilization and operating leverage, and balance profit margins with premium models and exports,” said Bing Yuan, a fund manager at Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management. BYD has been expanding its luxury lineup, including the Auto China show launch of the Denza Z9GT, a shooting-brake style design with a heavy emphasis on technology. In Februray, it rolled out its $200,000-plus Yangwang U9 supercar to rival offerings from Ferrari NV and Lamborghini. The company has a target of selling 500,000 vehicles outside China this year, and then doubling that in 2025. It also plans to build its first European car factory in Hungary. “Exports coming from a low base are expected to continue to show strong growth — this will remain a key supporting factor for BYD’s revenue growth and likely margin,” said Robert Mumford, a portfolio manager at GAM Hong Kong Ltd. “Outside the leaders, we have been fairly bearish on the sector given high levels of competition and pricing pressure.”