如果感染新冠，你的死亡概率是多少？
美国当前上千万的数据样本，让我们可以精确地算出这个概率来。
本分析来自美国CDC的数据。
US Covid Deaths by Age Group:
(Source 网页链接 )
Date generated: Thu Nov 19 2020, cases 12million, deaths 256k.
Data from 8,317,421 cases and 181,520 deaths. Age group was available for 8,289,125 (99%) cases and 181,506 (99%) deaths.
Age Group Death# Death% Case# Case% Mortality Rate
0 - 4 Years 41 <0.1 143733 1.7 0.0285%
5 - 17 Years 77 <0.1 644850 7.8 0.0119%
18 - 29 Years 949 0.5 1974480 23.8 0.0481%
30 - 39 Years 2343 1.3 1369673 16.5 0.1711%
40 - 49 Years 5583 3.1 1254464 15.1 0.4451%
50 - 64 Years 27424 15.1 1695067 20.4 1.6179%
65 - 74 Years 37978 20.9 628137 7.6 6.0461%
75 - 84 Years 48521 26.7 347626 4.2 13.9578%
85+ Years 58590 32.3 231095 2.8 25.3532%
So, death probability for a 35yo who is infected is 0.17%.
举例：35岁人群，如果感染，死亡概率为0.17%。
如果有相关疾病史，概率翻倍，否则减半。
大家可以根据自己和家人的年龄及病史自行判断。