秘密武器是啥呢?
occasionally, markets or the economy will cause stocks and bonds of some large and fundamentally good businesses to be strikingly mispriced.
🐰抓住市场错误定价的机会
Speed of communication and the wonders of technology facilitate instant worldwide paralysis, and we have come a long way since smoke signals.
Such instant panics won't happen often--but they will happen.
🐰拿着大量现金,平日你觉得闲置浪费,一旦市场/经济陷入短期“瘫痪”、“崩溃”时,现金就是宝,现金成了让你抓住超额风险回报比的“秘密武器”。
We did not predict the time of an economic paralysis,but we are always prepared for one.
不预测经济危机发生时点,但一直为之准备着(难怪他组合里有20%这么高比例的现金)。
🐰一般的投资者很难长期持有大量现金,因为认知不够,赚不到这份超额回报的钱。
⭐ RULE: never risk permanent loss of capital!
Thanks to American tailwind and the power of compound interest, the arena in which we operate has been-and will be - rewarding, if you make a couple of good decisions during a lifetime and avoid serious mistakes.
避免严重的错误,避免永久性的损失!
一生中,你只需要做对10来个好的决定即可。
⭐timeless essentials of our world
什么是 永恒的 必需品?
⭐Such repurchases work to increase your participation in every asset Berkshire owns.
回购 本质上 帮你增加 持有的份额比例
(🐰同理可得,腾讯回购自己的股份,相对于变相增加你参与持有拼多多、B站等一众国内互联网头部公司的份额。)
⭐When you find a truly wonderful business, stick with it. (🐰紧紧抱着它 别卖)
(🐰段永平说过,卖了苹果、茅台,你买什么呢?一般人又拿不住现金。
有个人卖了茅台,换了高息理财,然后连老本都没了…)
Patience pays, and one wonderful business can offset the many mediocre decisions that are inevitable.
一个好的投资能抵消好多平庸的决策。
⭐Berkshire continues to hold its passive and long-term interest in five very large Japanese companies.
被动 长期 持有日本五大商社
⭐Neither Greg and I believe we can forecast market prices of major currencies.
不预测宏观(如货币汇率)。
⭐Berkshire will always attempt to be accurate in its estimates of future loss payments but inflation--both monetary and the "legal" variety-is a wild card.
货币政策型通胀和“合法”通胀都难以预测。
什么是“legal”通胀?