[文摘片段。从中品读石油需求问题和石油化工的前景问题】
The Petrochemical Industry Is Set To Explode 石化工业注定爆发
*The global movement to ditch fossil fuels is largely focused on transport and industry, but the petrochemical industry will need fossil fuels for decades to come.
*The value of the petrochemical market is forecast to grow to $1 trillion by 2030, increasing its demand for crude oil and natural gas.
*the petrochemical industry is all but certain to see growth in the coming decade, it will need to invest heavily in decarbonizing operations.
* 摒弃化石能源主要关注点在交通和工业上面，但是石化工业在未来的几十年继续需要化石原料。
* 到2030石化市场预计成长到1万亿美元，从而增加石油和天然气的需求量。
* 然而在未来十年里石化工业确定性的增长前提下，对其大举减碳投资也刻不容缓。
The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global crude demand will continue to increase until 2025, before decreasing at a CAGR of 1 percent between 2026 and 2050. The IEA believes that oil use as a petrochemical feedstock is the only area that will see an increase in demand, with 55 percent of all global oil demand contributing to the petrochemical market by 2050.
国际能源署预测全球原油需求将持续增加直到2025年，从2026开始到2050年期间将每年以1%的速度萎缩。能源署相信石化原料需求将是唯一增长的环节，到2050年55%的石油需求来自于石化市场。
The petrochemical industry is expected to continue to grow well into the next two decades, with the demand for petrochemical products continuing to increase worldwide. This will be a major driver for oil and gas demand over the next 30 years, even as we see a decrease in the reliance on fossil fuels for heating and transport.
得益于全球对石化产品的需求增长，石化工业预计在未来20年将继续成长。这将是未来30年油气需求的主要驱动力，尽管我们会看到在制热和交通方面对石化能源需求依赖的减少。