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其次,别说是股权交易,就是老百姓卖个房子也是悄悄的,成交价也是买卖双方知道,也不会到处宣传。这提前两年向大家宣布两年后要以什么价位交易,这是宣布的人傻还是听的人傻?
第三,更何况约定这个所谓交易价的还是两个股东之间,又不是和上市公司约定,更不是和股民约定,跟你有啥关系?
第四,你可能认为有关系,因为控股权发生变化会触发邀约。好,那咱就假设申通控股权要变化,阿里触发邀约股价会怎么走。
只要阿里不是以终止申通上市地位为目的,那阿里肯定是不希望收购各位散户手里的股权的。而且邀约价是根据市场价适当上浮,邀约价可不是必须是20.8元啊,亲人们。
假设阿里准备触发邀约,那么必须在这个价位让足够多的散户进场,也就是把多数散户成本控制到11元以上。然后将股价砸到6至7元一线,这时宣布邀约,价格定在7至8元之间。然后邀约期间股价回到8元。
这样,多数散户成本在11元以上,8元不会行权。少数6—7元抄底的散户,因为股价高于行权价,也不会选择行权。只有如此阿里才能实现控股又不需要收购散户手里的股权。
你们给我说说,即使阿里要控股申通,他把股价拉上去的逻辑是什么?
顺带说一下,在三通一达的竞争中,中通的霸主地位已经确立,圆通老二地位也不可撼动,申通就是阿里的工具人,韵达已经彻底掉队不用抱任何幻想。$申通快递(SZ002468)$ $韵达股份(SZ002120)$ $圆通速递(SH600233)$
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