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我们继续复盘,这轮行情启动的是迅雷不及掩耳盗铃,那么究竟谁赚到了钱呢?谁是本轮牛市赚钱最多的资金。
毫无疑问,南下资金是赚的最多的。被嘲讽的夺取港股定价权的南下资金,成为本轮牛市赚钱最多的资金。截止9月15日,南下资金累计净买入港股2.95万亿,其中23年净买入2894亿,24年净买入4427亿。这些资金按照恒生指数30%涨幅计算,账面浮盈8850亿。
当然,南下资金主要持仓是腾讯、移动、中海油、建行、工行、汇丰、美团和小米,实际涨幅会小一点。此外国家队年内买入ETF6000亿,以沪深300ETF为主,此外中央汇金还是多家银行和券商的大股东,只看ETF,按照25%计算,账面浮盈超过1500亿。
之前很多人嘲笑国家队,现在很多人希望再给一次2700点的机会,下次一定满上!
本轮踏空的主力资金主要是外资和广大的基民。
虽然8月份开始不披露外资数据,但是外资净流出是不争的事实,24年净流出68亿,开通以来净买入只剩下1.76亿(对比南下2.95亿)。本轮行情最大的踏空资金非外资莫属,这轮行情如此迅速,外资踏空明显。
从外资补仓角度看,外资持仓比例相对高、且股票跌幅较大的品种可能是未来一段时间会是补涨主力。
我根据外资持仓数据与股价涨跌幅,按照四条标准,选出几家公司供大家参考。
标准一:截止8月1日,沪深港通持股3%以上,选取外资喜爱的个股;
标准二:过去五天涨幅低于25%,选取补涨的个股;
标准三:年内涨幅小于10%,选取位置相对低的个股;
标准四:21年2月以来依然下跌超过30%,选取位置相对低的个股;
目前仅11家公司满足条件,这些公司基本面都还行,可以作为补涨选择方向,适合风险偏好低、仓位较低或者空仓,且不喜欢追涨的朋友~
当然,我也给大家准备了这张表格的EXCEL版本,大家可以根据自己的标准选择公司。需要表格的朋友请关注A股冠军企业,在对话框发送消息“外资”,即可收到《外资数据跟踪》excel表
踏空的还有基民,数据显示,24年上半年公募净赎回超过5000亿,尤其是最近几个月的阴跌,基金重仓股成为下跌的主力,这些资金也算是完全踏空了。
不知道他们什么时候会进来呢?
此外,截至10月1日,近期小于等于25岁的新开户投资者占比两成;25-35岁占比三成;36-50岁占比四成;大于50岁占比一成。
90后和00后正在跑步入场,21年的基金割了他们第一次,不知道这次会不会把他们的第一波原始积累清零了。
所以我是不建议90后和00后开户炒股的,如果你非要开,不妨用下面这家券商,国庆长假都可以开户。
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