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回复@ChicagoTiger: [想一下]//@ChicagoTiger:回复@梁剑:看电话会议记录,CFO是这样说收入增速下滑的“Turning now to the revenue outlook, our total revenue growth rate decelerated approximately seven percentage points in Q2 compared to Q1. Our total revenue growth rates will continue to decelerate in the second half of 2018, and we expect our revenue growth rates to decline by high single-digit percentages from prior quarters sequentially in both Q3 and Q4”-所以从42%的营收,Q3和Q4分别要下降7-8%个点,所以年底收入增速会到25%左右。
除此之外,CFO还说了“ Looking beyond 2018, we anticipate that total expense growth will exceed revenue growth in 2019. Over the next several years, we would anticipate that our operating margins will trend towards the mid-30s on a percentage basis” 注意这个季度FB的operating marign还有42%
两者叠加起来,20%-25%的收入增速,加上10%年化的利润率下跌(35/42)^(1/2)-1,净利润增速应该在10-15%左右。这样一个股票估值应当是多少就是见仁见智的问题了。
引用:
2018-07-26 07:26
$Facebook(FB)$ 意思是,比如现在营收42%的同比增速,可能降低到33%(个位数高位)。
The company says it sees growth rate dropping by high single digits for the next couple of quarters.
费用的增长高于营收。估计大部分是安全、隐私相关的增加,人员是以万计算的....
Total ex...

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张光宇2018-07-26 10:02

梁剑2018-07-26 10:01

电话会议全文 网页链接

张光宇2018-07-26 09:50

昨晚的会议记录全文有链接吗?